The Fourth Winemiller Symposium on Applied Statistics

April 7-9, 2003, Memorial Union, MU

Sponsored by the Department of Statistics

University of Missouri-Columbia

April 7, 2003 (Monday), Memorial Union S107 - Wrench Auditorium

  • 1:00 - 1:15pm

    Opening Remarks, Nancy Flournoy, Chair of Statistics

  • Session I: Contributed Talks
    Chair: (Tony) Jianguo Sun, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    1:15pm: Hierarchical Models for Learning Effects in Response Time.

    Jefferey N. Rouder*, Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri-Columbia
    Dongchu Sun*, Paul L. Speckman, and Jun Lu, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    1:45pm: The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In Sample and Out of Sample Evidence.

    Todd E. Clark, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
    Michael W. McCracken*, Economics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    2:15pm: Statistical Mechanics of RNA Folding.

    Shijie Chen*, Physics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    2:45pm: A Partially-Observed Model for Micro-movement of Asset Price with Continuous-time Bayesian Inference via Filtering.

    Yong Zeng*, Mathematics and Statistics, University of Missouri-Kansas City
  • 3:15-3:30pm: Break
  • Session II: Keynote Speech
    Chair: Phil Wood, Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri-Columbia

    3:30pm-5:00pm:

    Some Behavior Genetic Applications of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods.

    Lindon Eaves, Distinguished Professor,
    Departments of Human Genetics and Psychiatry, Virginia Commonwealth University(VCU) and the Director of Virginia Institute for Psychiatric and Behavioral Genetics.


    8:00pm: Party for Dr. Lindon Eaves
    At the home of Nancy Flournoy and Leonard Hearne
    3105 Trailside Drive
    Phone: 445-8315
    Drinks and dessert will be served.
    Please RSVP to Judy Dooley at either 882-6376 or DooleyJ@missouri.edu

April 8, 2003 (Tuesday), Memorial Union N201 - Mark Twain Ballroom

  • Session III: Contributed Talks
    Chair: Chong He, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    1:00pm: Climatological Analysis of Tornado Report Counts Using a Hierarchical Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Model.

    Christopher K. Wikle*, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia
    Christopher J. Anderson, Agronomy, Iowa State University

    1:30pm: Content Management in Biomedical Databases Using A Statistical KD-tree: Feature Validation and Nearest Neighbor Search in A Multi-Dimensional Space.

    Chi-Ren Shyu*, Computer Engr & Computer Sci, University of Missouri-Columbia

    2:00pm: Rank-based Tests for Structural Hypotheses on Covariance Matrices Using an Analog of the Normal Likelihood Ratio Statistic.

    Yonghong Gao*, Mathematics and Statistics, University of Missouri-Kansas City
    John Marden, Statistics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

    2:30pm: A Bayesian Analysis of Identified Normalized VAR Models.

    Xiaoguang Ni*, Economics, University of Missouri-Columbia
    Dongchu Sun, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia
  • 3:00-3:30pm: Break
  • Session IV: Keynote Speech
    Chair: Dongchu Sun, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    3:30pm-5:00pm:

    Statistical Validation of Computer Models

    Jim Berger, Distinguished Professor of Statistics,
    Institute of Statistics and Decision Sciences, Duke University and the Director of Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute.

    8:00pm: Party for Dr. Jim Berger and his wife Ann Berger
    At the home of Dongchu Sun and Chong He
    2603 Chapel Wood Terrace
    Phone: 446-2587
    Drinks and dessert will be served.
    Please RSVP to Judy Dooley at either 882-6376 or DooleyJ@missouri.edu

April 9, 2003 (Wednesday), Memorial Union S107 - Wrench Auditorium

  • Session V: Contributed Talks
    Chair: Tim Wright, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    1:00pm: Addressing Shortcomings of Population Based Interventions in obesity prevention.

    Fungai Chanetsa*, Health Mgmt & Informatics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    1:30pm: The Search for the Syndrome that was There or the Variable that Wasn't: Configural Frequency Analysis, Conditional Independence, and Tetrad Approaches for Categorical Data.

    Phil Wood*, Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri-Columbia

    2:00pm: The impact of multi-member state legislative districts on representation: Why concept operationalization matters?

    Lilliard Richardson*, Truman School of Public Affairs, University of Missouri-Columbia

    2:30pm: A Statistical Method for Longitudinal Data with Informative Observattion Times.

    (Tony) Jianguo Sun*, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia
  • 3:00-3:10pm: Break
  • Session VI: Contributed Talks
    Chair: Chris Wikle, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    3:10pm: A Bayesian Stochastic method for the short period prediction of heavy rainfall.

    Neil Fox*, Atmospheric Science, University of Missouri-Columbia
    Chris Wikle and Bill Xu, Statistics, University of Missouri-Columbia

    3:40pm: The Presentation of Temperature Information in Television Broadcasts: What is Normal?

    Anthony Lupo*, Atmospheric Science, University of Missouri-Columbia

    4:10pm: Advances in Measurement Theory: IRT and the unidimensionality assumption.

    Steven Osterlind*, Educational & Counseling Psychology, University of Missouri-Columbia

    4:40pm: Where the Ends Don't Meet: Social Capital Effects on Economic Hardship.

    Joan Hermsen*, Sociology, University of Missouri-Columbia
    David Cotter, Sociology, Union College
    Reeve Vanneman, Sociology, University of Maryland

    * - presenter